National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration
United States Department of Commerce


 

FY 2015

A Tsunami Forecast Model for Kihei, Hawai'i

Gica, E.

NOAA OAR Special Report, PMEL Tsunami Forecast Series: Vol. 11, 138 pp, doi: 10.7289/V5C24TD1 (2015)


The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has developed a tsunami forecast model for Kihei, Hawaii, as part of an effort to provide tsunami forecasts for U.S. coastal communities. Development, validation, and stability testing of the tsunami forecast model has been conducted to ensure that it is stable and robust. The Kihei tsunami forecast model employs the Method of Splitting Tsunami (MOST) numerical code and has been validated with three historical tsunamis. A total of 13 historical events and 62 synthetic (Mw 9.4, 7.5, and 6.2) events from different source regions were also used to test the model’s stability and reliability. The Kihei forecast model remains stable for 24 hours, and has been developed to simulate 4 hours of tsunami wave characteristics in approximately 13.22 minutes of CPU time.



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