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Arctic Change NOAA
A near-realtime Arctic Change Indicator website

[an error occurred while processing this directive] HOME
[an error occurred while processing this directive] NEWS
[an error occurred while processing this directive] OVERVIEW
[an error occurred while processing this directive] TABLE OF INDICATORS
CLIMATE
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Arctic Oscillation
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Surface Temps
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Stratospheric Temps
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Clouds
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Ocean
GLOBAL
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Global Temperatures [an error occurred while processing this directive] City Temps
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Ocean Overturning
LAND
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Roads
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Permafrost
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Tundra
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Rivers
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Waterfowl
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Caribou
MARINE ECOSYSTEM
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Overview
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Bering Sea
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Barents Sea
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Greenland
ICE
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Sea Ice
[an error occurred while processing this directive] North Pole
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Glaciers
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Snow Cover
HUMAN
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Socio-economic
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Shishmaref
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Marine Access
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Canadian Marine
[an error occurred while processing this directive] Roads

Human and Economic Indicators - Marine Access

Shishmaref | Shipping | Roads

It has been suggested that warming and a reduction of sea ice could improve shipping opportunities by opening the Northwest Passage. The report "Shipping in the Canadian Arctic: Other Possible Climate Change Scenarios" from the Canadian Ice Service and the Institute of Ocean Sciences in Victoria, Canada, reviews the results of several studies relevant to future shipping conditions in the Northwest Passage. Their conclusions indicate that predictions of an ice-free Arctic may lead many into a false sense of optimism regarding the ease of future shipping. Sea ice is highly variable and there will still be summers of occasional heavy ice conditions. Future navigation in the Northwest Passage may see a blockage of routes by the southern shift in pack ice and an increase in drifting Old Ice creating choke points in narrow channels and navigation hazards. Finally, our ability to predict future impacts on Arctic sea ice are imperfect, and there are a number of different climate change scenarios.

Northwest Passage
 
The shipping route known as the Northwest Passage is shown in black on this map of the Canadian Arctic. From The report Shipping in the Canadian Arctic: Other Possible Climate Change Scenarios.

Melting of permafrost, changing frozen ground to mud, is impacting buildings and roads. Reduction of sea ice has potential implications for shipping.

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